Specials & Politics General rules All specials and politics markets are singles only. Unless otherwise stated, if a selection does not participate in an event, all bets on that selection will be settled as losers. Settlement of special markets will be determined based on results that are publicly announced by the official organisers of the events, where relevant. In the absence of an official organiser of an event, bets will be settled based on information from trusted sources. For politics and next leader betting, short-term interim leaders do not count as winning selections. UK elections All betting within a UK election market is singles only. Accumulative bets accepted in error will be settled as singles with the stake apportioned per single bet. Settlement of all bets will be based on the total votes cast and counted at the time of the election being ‘called’, and not on any subsequent legal challenge or overturned result. Party totals will be counted based on the party that the elected MPs stood for in the election and will not be altered based on any subsequent defections. The UK Parliament ‘Speaker’, if seeking re-election, will not count as an MP of any party. Any constituency that has its election postponed from the normal polling day will not count for settlement purposes on overall majority election betting. Bets on an overall majority require the party to win an absolute majority of the seats contested on polling day (e.g. 326 out of 650). Constituency betting on such a seat will be made void. Bets on an Overall Majority require the Party to win an absolute majority of the seats contested on polling day (e.g. 326 out of 650). Specific constituency betting on a seat that is postponed will be made void. If no party has an overall majority, then bets on no majority will be settled as winners. If some MPs [e.g. Sinn Fein] do not take their seats, that does not change the requirement for an overall majority. Next government and Prime Minister after the next general election markets will be settled based on the first formalised (non-interim) Prime Minister and government formed after the general election. For the avoidance of doubt, the government must pass a Queen’s Speech or win a confidence motion in the House of Commons to be considered formalised. For a party to be considered part of a coalition they must have representation in the Cabinet. A minority government is one in which the parties forming a coalition have fewer than 326 seats. Turnout bets will be settled on UK-wide turnout on the normal polling day. Vote share betting, including most votes, will apply on GB seats only (excluding Northern Ireland), unless otherwise specified. For next party leader markets, temporary, interim and caretaker leaders do not count, bets will be settled on the candidate who is announced as the permanent new party leader following the outcome of a leadership vote or any other selection process. No Confidence Vote - 6th June 2022 The market relates to the first no confidence vote against Boris Johnson, expected to take place 6th June 2022. Bets will be void if vote doesn't take place by the end of June 2022. US elections All bets on next president and winning party are settled on the winner of the election and not on the person who is inaugurated as president. Bets on total US electoral college votes will be settled based on the vote in each state (and in each congressional district in Maine and Nebraska) on the day of the election, and not on the actual meeting of the electoral college. US primaries and caucuses All markets will be settled on vote share and not on the national delegate count arising from the vote. Only where vote share is not declared (as in some caucuses) then we will use the number of state delegates or equivalents won to settle the market. For next party leader markets, temporary, interim, or caretaker leaders do not count. Eurovision Song Contest Settlement will be based on the official results published by the organisers of the contest, the European Broadcasting Union. Where applicable dead-heat rules will apply(see betting rules). Bets are settled as losers if a country does not finish a competition, e.g. through disqualification. Handicap betting Settlement will be at the odds displayed using the actual number of points awarded to each country, adjusted for the handicap. Match Betting Bets settled on the country who finishes highest in the official final result. All match bets are offered for the final, unless otherwise stated. Group betting (inc top Nordic, top Baltic etc) Bets settled on the country who finishes highest in the official final result. If all countries in the group fail to reach the final all bets will be void. Any country to get null points This market refers to the final only. Max twelves received from the juries Bets settled on the number of juries that give a specific country the maximum 12 points, as shown on the official website. Public televoting does not count for the purpose of this market. Snow on Christmas Day Snow to be recorded falling at the London Weather Centre for bets placed on snowfall in London, or at other relevant city airports for bets placed on snowfall at all other cities on dates displayed. British weather services will determine the final results. Singles only. Sports Personality of the Year Markets include win outright, winning sport, top three finish, straight forecast; markets will be settled based on the awards presented on the evening of the ceremony. Dead-heat rules apply. Match-ups (head-to-head bets between two nominees) will be settled based on the official voting figures released after the award ceremony. Strictly Come Dancing If two or more are evicted in a single show then the winner will be deemed to be the first participant evicted. Next elimination market Where one listed participant does not take part then a Rule 4 (deductions) may apply (see betting rules) Where two or more listed participants do not take part, then the market is void. Gender of winner Settlement is based on the celebrities’ gender. Match-ups *The first participant eliminated will be deemed the loser on head-to-head bets between two participants. X Factor To be evicted first Settlement will be based on the first named participant to be evicted in a specified week/show. To be evicted 2-way A yes/no market will be settled on the result of a specified week/show. Match-ups The act progressing furthest in the competition is deemed the winner in a head-to-head bet between two participants. If two acts go in the same week/show, the first participant evicted will be deemed the loser. For next elimination market, where one listed participant does not take part then a rule 4 (deductions) may apply. Where two or more listed participants do not take part, then the market is void. To finish bottom in flash vote Winner is the act who is announced to have the lowest votes from the flash vote and therefore goes into the sing off. If the flash vote does not take place then bets are void. If more than one act is announced as bottom, or if more than one act goes through to the sing off from the flash vote, then dead-heat rules apply (see betting rules). To be in sing off 2-way A yes/no market will be settled on the result of a specified week/show. Next manager to lose an act All participants must perform for bets to stand. If a participant is solo (irrespective of whether it has ‘solo’ listed after their name or not) and that participant subsequently joins a group, bets on that participant will be settled as losers. If a solo artist does not have (solo) listed after their name, and that artist subsequently joins a group, bets will be void. Bottom three/bottom two The specified number of acts must been named in a given week/show for bets to stand. Acts named in the bottom three or two (dependant on market offered) for a specified week/show are deemed winners. Where there is a multiple eviction, bets on this market will be settled on the first two or three participants evicted (market dependent). If the bottom three or two is not clear, then dead-heat rules may apply (see Betting rules). Deadlock The market is determined as yes there will be deadlock/there will not be deadlock in a specified week/show. Where the format of the weekly show dictates that deadlock cannot happen (e.g. multiple eviction with no song-off), bets will be void. First act announced safe Settlement is determined by the first act announced as safe, in a specified week/show. If it is unclear which act is declared safe first, then dead-heat rules may apply (see betting rules). All participants must perform for bets to stand. Top three finish (whole competition) Settlement is based on final results of the whole series/competition. Acts placed in the top three of the competition are deemed winners. If the top three result is unclear, then dead-heat rules may apply (see betting rules). For the markets: Winning groups/girls/overs/boys markets, winning manager, winning category, first category to lose all acts, first manager eliminated; should a listed mentor be replaced by either another existing mentor or a non-listed mentor all bets will stand. For all markets; should an individual participant or group change their name during the course of the series all bets will stand and the new name will be deemed the same group as the original name for settlement purposes. Other reality shows Bets will be settled on the official results. If two or more participants are evicted in a specified eviction market and the order of eviction is clear then this will be used for settlement purposes. If the order of eviction is unclear then dead-heat rules will apply (see betting rules). Evictees and walk-outs will be settled as losers. A contestant leaving by means other than an eviction before a nomination round has taken place will be deemed a non-runner for that eviction and a Rule 4 (deductions) may apply (see betting rules). Additional contestants may be added to the market at any time.